Made by Hexay

Operation Phoenix Case

Expected Value: $5.64

Net Expected Value: $0.44

Total Items: 78

Recommended Bankroll: $45,037.20

Cases Needed: 8,661

Success Rate: 75.0%

Items by Rarity

Item Name Value Drop Chance EV Contribution
MAG-7 Heaven Guard $0.66 19.980% $0.13 [2.3%]
Negev Terrain $0.62 19.980% $0.12 [2.2%]
UMP-45 Corporal $1.01 19.980% $0.20 [3.6%]
Tec-9 Sandstorm $1.97 19.980% $0.39 [7.0%]
Item Name Value Drop Chance EV Contribution
FAMAS Sergeant $7.43 3.995% $0.30 [5.3%]
SG 553 Pulse $6.19 3.995% $0.25 [4.4%]
MAC-10 Heat $9.75 3.995% $0.39 [6.9%]
USP-S Guardian $7.98 3.995% $0.32 [5.6%]
Item Name Value Drop Chance EV Contribution
P90 Trigon $9.87 1.067% $0.11 [1.9%]
Nova Antique $11.67 1.067% $0.12 [2.2%]
AK-47 Redline $88.38 1.067% $0.94 [16.7%]
Item Name Value Drop Chance EV Contribution
AUG Chameleon $4.16 0.320% $0.01 [0.2%]
AWP Asiimov $105.49 0.320% $0.34 [6.0%]
Item Name Value Drop Chance EV Contribution
Bayonet Fade $959.68 0.004% $0.04 [0.7%]
Bayonet Slaughter $515.79 0.004% $0.02 [0.4%]
Bayonet Case Hardened $704.30 0.004% $0.03 [0.5%]
Bayonet Vanilla $482.37 0.004% $0.02 [0.3%]
Bayonet Blue Steel $494.92 0.004% $0.02 [0.4%]
Bayonet Boreal Forest $515.03 0.004% $0.02 [0.4%]
Bayonet Crimson Web $589.47 0.004% $0.02 [0.4%]
Bayonet Stained $372.53 0.004% $0.01 [0.3%]
Bayonet Night $329.91 0.004% $0.01 [0.2%]
Bayonet Urban Masked $325.68 0.004% $0.01 [0.2%]
Bayonet Scorched $285.00 0.004% $0.01 [0.2%]
Bayonet Safari Mesh $282.52 0.004% $0.01 [0.2%]
Bayonet Forest DDPAT $313.45 0.004% $0.01 [0.2%]
Flip Fade $882.84 0.004% $0.04 [0.6%]
Flip Slaughter $530.52 0.004% $0.02 [0.4%]
Flip Vanilla $373.50 0.004% $0.01 [0.3%]
Flip Crimson Web $525.85 0.004% $0.02 [0.4%]
Flip Blue Steel $278.39 0.004% $0.01 [0.2%]
Flip Case Hardened $278.39 0.004% $0.01 [0.2%]
Flip Stained $236.05 0.004% $0.01 [0.2%]
Flip Night $338.82 0.004% $0.01 [0.2%]
Flip Boreal Forest $276.39 0.004% $0.01 [0.2%]
Flip Safari Mesh $265.58 0.004% $0.01 [0.2%]
Flip Scorched $221.10 0.004% $0.01 [0.2%]
Flip Forest DDPAT $199.67 0.004% $0.01 [0.1%]
Flip Urban Masked $170.12 0.004% $0.01 [0.1%]
Gut Forest DDPAT $146.17 0.004% $0.01 [0.1%]
Gut Fade $309.64 0.004% $0.01 [0.2%]
Gut Slaughter $223.43 0.004% $0.01 [0.2%]
Gut Case Hardened $175.46 0.004% $0.01 [0.1%]
Gut Blue Steel $167.15 0.004% $0.01 [0.1%]
Gut Safari Mesh $178.64 0.004% $0.01 [0.1%]
Gut Vanilla $162.39 0.004% $0.01 [0.1%]
Gut Crimson Web $194.64 0.004% $0.01 [0.1%]
Gut Stained $157.08 0.004% $0.01 [0.1%]
Gut Scorched $177.86 0.004% $0.01 [0.1%]
Gut Night $148.05 0.004% $0.01 [0.1%]
Gut Boreal Forest $147.29 0.004% $0.01 [0.1%]
Gut Urban Masked $119.57 0.004% $0.00 [0.1%]
Karambit Case Hardened $6083.19 0.004% $0.24 [4.3%]
Karambit Stained $1129.40 0.004% $0.05 [0.8%]
Karambit Night $1849.92 0.004% $0.07 [1.3%]
Karambit Blue Steel $1665.67 0.004% $0.07 [1.2%]
Karambit Crimson Web $1992.04 0.004% $0.08 [1.4%]
Karambit Scorched $1146.30 0.004% $0.05 [0.8%]
Karambit Safari Mesh $982.55 0.004% $0.04 [0.7%]
Karambit Urban Masked $1016.75 0.004% $0.04 [0.7%]
Karambit Boreal Forest $1370.91 0.004% $0.05 [1.0%]
Karambit Forest DDPAT $1229.59 0.004% $0.05 [0.9%]
Karambit Vanilla $1647.39 0.004% $0.07 [1.2%]
Karambit Slaughter $1661.61 0.004% $0.07 [1.2%]
Karambit Fade $3043.82 0.004% $0.12 [2.2%]
M9 Blue Steel $898.64 0.004% $0.04 [0.6%]
M9 Night $1012.55 0.004% $0.04 [0.7%]
M9 Slaughter $1174.49 0.004% $0.05 [0.8%]
M9 Crimson Web $1836.36 0.004% $0.07 [1.3%]
M9 Case Hardened $1028.41 0.004% $0.04 [0.7%]
M9 Urban Masked $592.05 0.004% $0.02 [0.4%]
M9 Stained $701.11 0.004% $0.03 [0.5%]
M9 Safari Mesh $525.97 0.004% $0.02 [0.4%]
M9 Scorched $545.04 0.004% $0.02 [0.4%]
M9 Boreal Forest $491.61 0.004% $0.02 [0.3%]
M9 Forest DDPAT $555.08 0.004% $0.02 [0.4%]
M9 Vanilla $1150.28 0.004% $0.05 [0.8%]
M9 Fade $2082.93 0.004% $0.08 [1.5%]