Made by Hexay

Operation Vanguard Case

Expected Value: $5.24

Net Expected Value: $0.64

Total Items: 79

Recommended Bankroll: $18,970.40

Cases Needed: 4,124

Success Rate: 75.0%

Items by Rarity

Item Name Value Drop Chance EV Contribution
MAG-7 Firestarter $2.29 15.984% $0.37 [7.0%]
G3SG1 Murky $0.63 15.984% $0.10 [1.9%]
UMP-45 Delusion $0.53 15.984% $0.08 [1.6%]
MP9 Dart $1.88 15.984% $0.30 [5.7%]
Five-SeveN Urban Hazard $1.81 15.984% $0.29 [5.5%]
Item Name Value Drop Chance EV Contribution
Sawed-Off Highwayman $2.39 3.995% $0.10 [1.8%]
Glock-18 Grinder $2.01 3.995% $0.08 [1.5%]
M4A4 Griffin $6.87 3.995% $0.27 [5.2%]
M4A1-S Basilisk $11.52 3.995% $0.46 [8.8%]
Item Name Value Drop Chance EV Contribution
SCAR-20 Cardiac $10.80 1.067% $0.12 [2.2%]
P250 Cartel $14.40 1.067% $0.15 [2.9%]
XM1014 Tranquility $18.79 1.067% $0.20 [3.8%]
Item Name Value Drop Chance EV Contribution
P2000 Fire Elemental $30.78 0.320% $0.10 [1.9%]
AK-47 Wasteland Rebel $189.29 0.320% $0.61 [11.6%]
Item Name Value Drop Chance EV Contribution
Bayonet Fade $959.68 0.004% $0.04 [0.7%]
Bayonet Slaughter $515.79 0.004% $0.02 [0.4%]
Bayonet Case Hardened $704.30 0.004% $0.03 [0.5%]
Bayonet Vanilla $482.37 0.004% $0.02 [0.4%]
Bayonet Blue Steel $494.92 0.004% $0.02 [0.4%]
Bayonet Boreal Forest $515.03 0.004% $0.02 [0.4%]
Bayonet Crimson Web $589.47 0.004% $0.02 [0.4%]
Bayonet Stained $372.53 0.004% $0.01 [0.3%]
Bayonet Night $329.91 0.004% $0.01 [0.3%]
Bayonet Urban Masked $325.68 0.004% $0.01 [0.2%]
Bayonet Scorched $285.00 0.004% $0.01 [0.2%]
Bayonet Safari Mesh $282.52 0.004% $0.01 [0.2%]
Bayonet Forest DDPAT $313.45 0.004% $0.01 [0.2%]
Flip Fade $882.84 0.004% $0.04 [0.7%]
Flip Slaughter $530.52 0.004% $0.02 [0.4%]
Flip Vanilla $373.50 0.004% $0.01 [0.3%]
Flip Crimson Web $525.85 0.004% $0.02 [0.4%]
Flip Blue Steel $278.39 0.004% $0.01 [0.2%]
Flip Case Hardened $278.39 0.004% $0.01 [0.2%]
Flip Stained $236.05 0.004% $0.01 [0.2%]
Flip Night $338.82 0.004% $0.01 [0.3%]
Flip Boreal Forest $276.39 0.004% $0.01 [0.2%]
Flip Safari Mesh $265.58 0.004% $0.01 [0.2%]
Flip Scorched $221.10 0.004% $0.01 [0.2%]
Flip Forest DDPAT $199.67 0.004% $0.01 [0.2%]
Flip Urban Masked $170.12 0.004% $0.01 [0.1%]
Gut Forest DDPAT $146.17 0.004% $0.01 [0.1%]
Gut Fade $309.64 0.004% $0.01 [0.2%]
Gut Slaughter $223.43 0.004% $0.01 [0.2%]
Gut Case Hardened $175.46 0.004% $0.01 [0.1%]
Gut Blue Steel $167.15 0.004% $0.01 [0.1%]
Gut Safari Mesh $178.64 0.004% $0.01 [0.1%]
Gut Vanilla $162.39 0.004% $0.01 [0.1%]
Gut Crimson Web $194.64 0.004% $0.01 [0.1%]
Gut Stained $157.08 0.004% $0.01 [0.1%]
Gut Scorched $177.86 0.004% $0.01 [0.1%]
Gut Night $148.05 0.004% $0.01 [0.1%]
Gut Boreal Forest $147.29 0.004% $0.01 [0.1%]
Gut Urban Masked $119.57 0.004% $0.00 [0.1%]
Karambit Case Hardened $6083.19 0.004% $0.24 [4.6%]
Karambit Stained $1129.40 0.004% $0.05 [0.9%]
Karambit Night $1849.92 0.004% $0.07 [1.4%]
Karambit Blue Steel $1665.67 0.004% $0.07 [1.3%]
Karambit Crimson Web $1992.04 0.004% $0.08 [1.5%]
Karambit Scorched $1146.30 0.004% $0.05 [0.9%]
Karambit Safari Mesh $982.55 0.004% $0.04 [0.7%]
Karambit Urban Masked $1016.75 0.004% $0.04 [0.8%]
Karambit Boreal Forest $1370.91 0.004% $0.05 [1.0%]
Karambit Forest DDPAT $1229.59 0.004% $0.05 [0.9%]
Karambit Vanilla $1647.39 0.004% $0.07 [1.3%]
Karambit Slaughter $1661.61 0.004% $0.07 [1.3%]
Karambit Fade $3043.82 0.004% $0.12 [2.3%]
M9 Blue Steel $898.64 0.004% $0.04 [0.7%]
M9 Night $1012.55 0.004% $0.04 [0.8%]
M9 Slaughter $1174.49 0.004% $0.05 [0.9%]
M9 Crimson Web $1836.36 0.004% $0.07 [1.4%]
M9 Case Hardened $1028.41 0.004% $0.04 [0.8%]
M9 Urban Masked $592.05 0.004% $0.02 [0.5%]
M9 Stained $701.11 0.004% $0.03 [0.5%]
M9 Safari Mesh $525.97 0.004% $0.02 [0.4%]
M9 Scorched $545.04 0.004% $0.02 [0.4%]
M9 Boreal Forest $491.61 0.004% $0.02 [0.4%]
M9 Forest DDPAT $555.08 0.004% $0.02 [0.4%]
M9 Vanilla $1150.28 0.004% $0.05 [0.9%]
M9 Fade $2082.93 0.004% $0.08 [1.6%]
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