Case Opening Simulator

Prisma Case

Expected Value: $4.30

Net Expected Value: $2.90

Total Items: 65

Recommended Bankroll: $487.20

Cases Needed: 348

Success Rate: 75.0%

Items by Rarity

Blue (7 items, 79.92% chance, avg. $0.59, contributes $0.47 [10.9% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
AK-47 Uncharted	$1.07	11.417%	$0.12 [2.8%]
MAC-10 Whitefish	$0.78	11.417%	$0.09 [2.1%]
Galil AR Akoben	$0.52	11.417%	$0.06 [1.4%]
FAMAS Crypsis	$0.47	11.417%	$0.05 [1.2%]
P90 Off World	$0.52	11.417%	$0.06 [1.4%]
MP7 Mischief	$0.47	11.417%	$0.05 [1.2%]
P250 Verdigris	$0.33	11.417%	$0.04 [0.9%]

Purple (5 items, 15.98% chance, avg. $2.88, contributes $0.46 [10.7% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
MP5-SD Gauss	$1.38	3.196%	$0.04 [1.0%]
Tec-9 Bamboozle	$1.80	3.196%	$0.06 [1.3%]
UMP-45 Moonrise	$1.34	3.196%	$0.04 [1.0%]
Desert Eagle Light Rail	$2.77	3.196%	$0.09 [2.1%]
AWP Atheris	$7.07	3.196%	$0.23 [5.3%]

Pink (3 items, 3.20% chance, avg. $7.13, contributes $0.23 [5.4% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
XM1014 Incinegator	$8.93	1.067%	$0.10 [2.2%]
R8 Revolver Skull Crusher	$2.24	1.067%	$0.02 [0.6%]
AUG Momentum	$10.21	1.067%	$0.11 [2.5%]

Red (2 items, 0.64% chance, avg. $70.72, contributes $0.45 [10.5% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
M4A4 The Emperor	$130.58	0.320%	$0.42 [9.7%]
Five-SeveN Angry Mob	$10.87	0.320%	$0.03 [0.8%]

Gold (48 items, 0.26% chance, avg. $1031.93, contributes $2.68 [62.4% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
Navaja Ultraviolet	$143.78	0.005%	$0.01 [0.2%]
Navaja Damascus Steel	$107.03	0.005%	$0.01 [0.1%]
Navaja Rust Coat	$80.80	0.005%	$0.00 [0.1%]
Navaja Doppler (Phase 1)	$194.71	0.005%	$0.01 [0.2%]
Navaja Doppler (Phase 2)	$234.87	0.005%	$0.01 [0.3%]
Navaja Doppler (Phase 3)	$191.35	0.005%	$0.01 [0.2%]
Navaja Doppler (Phase 4)	$192.86	0.005%	$0.01 [0.2%]
Navaja Doppler (Ruby)	$603.01	0.005%	$0.03 [0.7%]
Navaja Doppler (Sapphire)	$502.57	0.005%	$0.03 [0.6%]
Navaja Doppler (Black Pearl)	$838.28	0.005%	$0.04 [1.0%]
Navaja Marble Fade	$206.41	0.005%	$0.01 [0.2%]
Navaja Tiger Tooth	$133.35	0.005%	$0.01 [0.2%]
Stiletto Damascus Steel	$354.80	0.005%	$0.02 [0.4%]
Stiletto Doppler (Phase 1)	$724.00	0.005%	$0.04 [0.8%]
Stiletto Doppler (Phase 2)	$1199.90	0.005%	$0.06 [1.4%]
Stiletto Doppler (Phase 3)	$1199.90	0.005%	$0.06 [1.4%]
Stiletto Doppler (Phase 4)	$860.73	0.005%	$0.04 [1.0%]
Stiletto Doppler (Ruby)	$3460.37	0.005%	$0.17 [4.0%]
Stiletto Doppler (Sapphire)	$2917.83	0.005%	$0.15 [3.4%]
Stiletto Doppler (Black Pearl)	$2943.53	0.005%	$0.15 [3.4%]
Stiletto Marble Fade	$687.71	0.005%	$0.03 [0.8%]
Stiletto Rust Coat	$172.49	0.005%	$0.01 [0.2%]
Stiletto Tiger Tooth	$432.70	0.005%	$0.02 [0.5%]
Stiletto Ultraviolet	$406.01	0.005%	$0.02 [0.5%]
Talon Ultraviolet	$807.00	0.005%	$0.04 [0.9%]
Talon Damascus Steel	$444.71	0.005%	$0.02 [0.5%]
Talon Doppler (Phase 1)	$1191.58	0.005%	$0.06 [1.4%]
Talon Doppler (Phase 2)	$1628.23	0.005%	$0.08 [1.9%]
Talon Doppler (Phase 3)	$1190.44	0.005%	$0.06 [1.4%]
Talon Doppler (Phase 4)	$1288.26	0.005%	$0.06 [1.5%]
Talon Doppler (Ruby)	$5140.41	0.005%	$0.26 [6.0%]
Talon Doppler (Sapphire)	$4251.11	0.005%	$0.21 [4.9%]
Talon Doppler (Black Pearl)	$4019.64	0.005%	$0.20 [4.7%]
Talon Marble Fade	$1114.08	0.005%	$0.06 [1.3%]
Talon Rust Coat	$254.52	0.005%	$0.01 [0.3%]
Talon Tiger Tooth	$669.95	0.005%	$0.03 [0.8%]
Ursus Tiger Tooth	$271.70	0.005%	$0.01 [0.3%]
Ursus Damascus Steel	$163.31	0.005%	$0.01 [0.2%]
Ursus Doppler (Phase 1)	$467.92	0.005%	$0.02 [0.5%]
Ursus Doppler (Phase 2)	$583.43	0.005%	$0.03 [0.7%]
Ursus Doppler (Phase 3)	$455.41	0.005%	$0.02 [0.5%]
Ursus Doppler (Phase 4)	$492.38	0.005%	$0.02 [0.6%]
Ursus Doppler (Ruby)	$1907.08	0.005%	$0.10 [2.2%]
Ursus Doppler (Sapphire)	$1814.20	0.005%	$0.09 [2.1%]
Ursus Doppler (Black Pearl)	$1716.42	0.005%	$0.09 [2.0%]
Ursus Marble Fade	$443.48	0.005%	$0.02 [0.5%]
Ursus Rust Coat	$93.19	0.005%	$0.00 [0.1%]
Ursus Ultraviolet	$335.28	0.005%	$0.02 [0.4%]

Back to Cases