Case Opening Simulator

Shattered Web Case

Expected Value: $4.86

Net Expected Value: $0.36

Total Items: 69

Recommended Bankroll: $10,183.50

Cases Needed: 2,263

Success Rate: 75.0%

Items by Rarity

Blue (7 items, 79.92% chance, avg. $1.26, contributes $1.01 [20.8% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
Dual Berettas Balance	$1.83	11.417%	$0.21 [4.3%]
G3SG1 Black Sand	$1.12	11.417%	$0.13 [2.6%]
M249 Warbird	$1.24	11.417%	$0.14 [2.9%]
Nova Plume	$1.22	11.417%	$0.14 [2.9%]
R8 Revolver Memento	$1.51	11.417%	$0.17 [3.5%]
MP5-SD Acid Wash	$0.86	11.417%	$0.10 [2.0%]
SCAR-20 Torn	$1.03	11.417%	$0.12 [2.4%]

Purple (5 items, 15.98% chance, avg. $6.85, contributes $1.09 [22.4% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
MP7 Neon Ply	$4.47	3.196%	$0.14 [2.9%]
PP-Bizon Embargo	$4.15	3.196%	$0.13 [2.7%]
P2000 Obsidian	$8.39	3.196%	$0.27 [5.5%]
AK-47 Rat Rod	$11.13	3.196%	$0.36 [7.3%]
AUG Arctic Wolf	$6.08	3.196%	$0.19 [4.0%]

Pink (3 items, 3.20% chance, avg. $38.82, contributes $1.24 [25.5% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
SG 553 Colony IV	$27.57	1.067%	$0.29 [6.1%]
SSG 08 Bloodshot	$49.34	1.067%	$0.53 [10.8%]
Tec-9 Decimator	$39.55	1.067%	$0.42 [8.7%]

Red (2 items, 0.64% chance, avg. $93.72, contributes $0.60 [12.4% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
AWP Containment Breach	$139.78	0.320%	$0.45 [9.2%]
MAC-10 Stalker	$47.66	0.320%	$0.15 [3.1%]

Gold (52 items, 0.26% chance, avg. $352.12, contributes $0.92 [18.9% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
Nomad Fade	$1012.79	0.005%	$0.05 [1.0%]
Nomad Night Stripe	$236.27	0.005%	$0.01 [0.2%]
Nomad Blue Steel	$386.11	0.005%	$0.02 [0.4%]
Nomad Stained	$309.46	0.005%	$0.02 [0.3%]
Nomad Case Hardened	$495.01	0.005%	$0.02 [0.5%]
Nomad Forest DDPAT	$192.40	0.005%	$0.01 [0.2%]
Nomad Boreal Forest	$180.26	0.005%	$0.01 [0.2%]
Nomad Crimson Web	$608.62	0.005%	$0.03 [0.6%]
Nomad Scorched	$227.46	0.005%	$0.01 [0.2%]
Nomad Safari Mesh	$156.67	0.005%	$0.01 [0.2%]
Nomad Vanilla	$414.86	0.005%	$0.02 [0.4%]
Nomad Urban Masked	$264.98	0.005%	$0.01 [0.3%]
Nomad Slaughter	$462.27	0.005%	$0.02 [0.5%]
Paracord Blue Steel	$181.71	0.005%	$0.01 [0.2%]
Paracord Case Hardened	$299.72	0.005%	$0.01 [0.3%]
Paracord Scorched	$154.76	0.005%	$0.01 [0.2%]
Paracord Forest DDPAT	$116.66	0.005%	$0.01 [0.1%]
Paracord Urban Masked	$167.48	0.005%	$0.01 [0.2%]
Paracord Vanilla	$163.81	0.005%	$0.01 [0.2%]
Paracord Fade	$492.16	0.005%	$0.02 [0.5%]
Paracord Slaughter	$269.74	0.005%	$0.01 [0.3%]
Paracord Stained	$165.99	0.005%	$0.01 [0.2%]
Paracord Boreal Forest	$153.64	0.005%	$0.01 [0.2%]
Paracord Crimson Web	$461.85	0.005%	$0.02 [0.5%]
Paracord Safari Mesh	$132.65	0.005%	$0.01 [0.1%]
Paracord Night Stripe	$187.81	0.005%	$0.01 [0.2%]
Skeleton Urban Masked	$331.33	0.005%	$0.02 [0.3%]
Skeleton Blue Steel	$562.30	0.005%	$0.03 [0.6%]
Skeleton Slaughter	$755.35	0.005%	$0.04 [0.8%]
Skeleton Fade	$1569.48	0.005%	$0.08 [1.6%]
Skeleton Stained	$510.88	0.005%	$0.03 [0.5%]
Skeleton Vanilla	$581.66	0.005%	$0.03 [0.6%]
Skeleton Case Hardened	$724.37	0.005%	$0.04 [0.7%]
Skeleton Forest DDPAT	$306.01	0.005%	$0.02 [0.3%]
Skeleton Boreal Forest	$305.67	0.005%	$0.02 [0.3%]
Skeleton Crimson Web	$1162.77	0.005%	$0.06 [1.2%]
Skeleton Scorched	$325.55	0.005%	$0.02 [0.3%]
Skeleton Safari Mesh	$258.27	0.005%	$0.01 [0.3%]
Skeleton Night Stripe	$406.62	0.005%	$0.02 [0.4%]
Survival Vanilla	$148.12	0.005%	$0.01 [0.2%]
Survival Fade	$450.32	0.005%	$0.02 [0.5%]
Survival Slaughter	$226.74	0.005%	$0.01 [0.2%]
Survival Blue Steel	$165.07	0.005%	$0.01 [0.2%]
Survival Stained	$152.32	0.005%	$0.01 [0.2%]
Survival Case Hardened	$233.42	0.005%	$0.01 [0.2%]
Survival Forest DDPAT	$126.88	0.005%	$0.01 [0.1%]
Survival Boreal Forest	$115.17	0.005%	$0.01 [0.1%]
Survival Crimson Web	$413.55	0.005%	$0.02 [0.4%]
Survival Scorched	$122.15	0.005%	$0.01 [0.1%]
Survival Safari Mesh	$108.70	0.005%	$0.01 [0.1%]
Survival Night Stripe	$184.66	0.005%	$0.01 [0.2%]
Survival Urban Masked	$167.85	0.005%	$0.01 [0.2%]

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