Case Opening Simulator

Made by Hexay

The 2021 Mirage Collection

Expected Value: $5.10

Net Expected Value: $-0.90

Total Items: 19

Not profitable in the long run

Items by Rarity

Gray (5 items, 79.87% chance, avg. $0.53, contributes $0.42 [8.2% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
SSG 08 Prey	$0.51	15.974%	$0.08 [1.6%]
P250 Drought	$0.49	15.974%	$0.08 [1.5%]
MAC-10 Sienna Damask	$0.45	15.974%	$0.07 [1.4%]
PP-Bizon Anolis	$0.58	15.974%	$0.09 [1.8%]
MAG-7 Navy Sheen	$0.62	15.974%	$0.10 [1.9%]

LightBlue (4 items, 15.97% chance, avg. $4.32, contributes $0.69 [13.5% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
CZ75-Auto Midnight Palm	$2.87	3.994%	$0.11 [2.2%]
Dual Berettas Drift Wood	$3.44	3.994%	$0.14 [2.7%]
FAMAS CaliCamo	$3.36	3.994%	$0.13 [2.6%]
P90 Verdant Growth	$7.60	3.994%	$0.30 [6.0%]

Blue (4 items, 3.33% chance, avg. $23.33, contributes $0.78 [15.3% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
MP9 Music Box	$19.98	0.832%	$0.17 [3.3%]
SG 553 Desert Blossom	$25.69	0.832%	$0.21 [4.2%]
M249 Humidor	$23.81	0.832%	$0.20 [3.9%]
USP-S Purple DDPAT	$23.83	0.832%	$0.20 [3.9%]

Purple (3 items, 0.67% chance, avg. $123.89, contributes $0.83 [16.3% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
Glock-18 Pink DDPAT	$86.40	0.222%	$0.19 [3.8%]
XM1014 Elegant Vines	$96.67	0.222%	$0.21 [4.2%]
AUG Sand Storm	$188.59	0.222%	$0.42 [8.2%]

Pink (2 items, 0.13% chance, avg. $719.67, contributes $0.96 [18.8% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
MP5-SD Oxide Oasis	$450.80	0.067%	$0.30 [5.9%]
Desert Eagle Fennec Fox	$988.55	0.067%	$0.66 [13.0%]

Red (1 items, 0.03% chance, avg. $5296.17, contributes $1.43 [28.0% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
AWP Desert Hydra	$5296.17	0.027%	$1.43 [28.0%]

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