Case Opening Simulator

Made by Hexay

The Canals Collection

Expected Value: $11.24

Net Expected Value: $1.24

Total Items: 18

Recommended Bankroll: $10,280.00

Cases Needed: 1,028

Success Rate: 75.0%

Your Bankroll Confidence (1000.0$): 58.33%

Items by Rarity

Gray (5 items, 79.87% chance, avg. $5.57, contributes $4.45 [39.6% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
Negev Boroque Sand	$4.49	15.974%	$0.72 [6.4%]
SCAR-20 Stone Mosaico	$4.74	15.974%	$0.76 [6.7%]
AUG Navy Murano	$5.32	15.974%	$0.85 [7.6%]
R8 Revolver Canal Spray	$6.60	15.974%	$1.05 [9.4%]
CZ75-Auto Indigo	$6.72	15.974%	$1.07 [9.6%]

LightBlue (4 items, 15.97% chance, avg. $14.67, contributes $2.34 [20.8% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
SG 553 Candy Apple	$8.51	3.994%	$0.34 [3.0%]
P250 Dark Filigree	$7.33	3.994%	$0.29 [2.6%]
Tec-9 Orange Murano	$9.91	3.994%	$0.40 [3.5%]
AK-47 Baroque Purple	$32.91	3.994%	$1.31 [11.7%]

Blue (4 items, 3.33% chance, avg. $40.03, contributes $1.33 [11.8% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
SSG 08 Orange Filigree	$32.98	0.832%	$0.27 [2.4%]
P90 Baroque Red	$42.47	0.832%	$0.35 [3.1%]
G3SG1 Violet Murano	$43.66	0.832%	$0.36 [3.2%]
Dual Berettas Emerald	$41.02	0.832%	$0.34 [3.0%]

Purple (3 items, 0.67% chance, avg. $195.64, contributes $1.30 [11.6% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
MP9 Stained Glass	$136.13	0.222%	$0.30 [2.7%]
Nova Baroque Orange	$247.70	0.222%	$0.55 [4.9%]
MAC-10 Red Filigree	$203.08	0.222%	$0.45 [4.0%]

Pink (1 items, 0.13% chance, avg. $749.51, contributes $1.00 [8.9% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
MAG-7 Cinquedea	$749.51	0.133%	$1.00 [8.9%]

Red (1 items, 0.03% chance, avg. $3002.17, contributes $0.81 [7.2% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
AWP The Prince	$3002.17	0.027%	$0.81 [7.2%]

Back to Cases