Case Opening Simulator

Made by Hexay

The Cobblestone Collection

Expected Value: $34.57

Net Expected Value: $3.07

Total Items: 15

Recommended Bankroll: $850.50

Cases Needed: 27

Success Rate: 75.0%

Your Bankroll Confidence (1000.0$): 77.14%

Items by Rarity

Gray (5 items, 79.87% chance, avg. $12.44, contributes $9.93 [28.7% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
Dual Berettas Briar	$4.57	15.974%	$0.73 [2.1%]
P90 Storm	$11.56	15.974%	$1.85 [5.3%]
SCAR-20 Storm	$10.14	15.974%	$1.62 [4.7%]
UMP-45 Indigo	$12.73	15.974%	$2.03 [5.9%]
MAC-10 Indigo	$23.20	15.974%	$3.71 [10.7%]

LightBlue (4 items, 15.97% chance, avg. $32.30, contributes $5.16 [14.9% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
Sawed-Off Rust Coat	$19.54	3.994%	$0.78 [2.3%]
Nova Green Apple	$18.34	3.994%	$0.73 [2.1%]
MAG-7 Silver	$19.29	3.994%	$0.77 [2.2%]
USP-S Royal Blue	$72.05	3.994%	$2.88 [8.3%]

Blue (2 items, 3.33% chance, avg. $163.92, contributes $5.46 [15.8% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
P2000 Chainmail	$139.33	1.664%	$2.32 [6.7%]
MP9 Dark Age	$188.52	1.664%	$3.14 [9.1%]

Purple (2 items, 0.67% chance, avg. $853.12, contributes $5.68 [16.4% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
CZ75-Auto Chalice	$709.78	0.333%	$2.36 [6.8%]
Desert Eagle Hand Cannon	$996.47	0.333%	$3.32 [9.6%]

Pink (1 items, 0.13% chance, avg. $3612.83, contributes $4.81 [13.9% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
M4A1-S Knight	$3612.83	0.133%	$4.81 [13.9%]

Red (1 items, 0.03% chance, avg. $13078.30, contributes $3.53 [10.2% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
AWP Dragon Lore	$13078.30	0.027%	$3.53 [10.2%]

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