Case Opening Simulator

Made by Hexay

The Control Collection

Expected Value: $5.75

Net Expected Value: $-7.25

Total Items: 19

Not profitable in the long run

Items by Rarity

Gray (5 items, 79.87% chance, avg. $1.25, contributes $1.00 [17.4% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
AUG Surveillance	$0.77	15.974%	$0.12 [2.1%]
XM1014 Charter	$0.86	15.974%	$0.14 [2.4%]
MP9 Army Sheen	$0.82	15.974%	$0.13 [2.3%]
CZ75-Auto Jungle Dashed	$1.75	15.974%	$0.28 [4.9%]
P250 Forest Night	$2.05	15.974%	$0.33 [5.7%]

LightBlue (4 items, 15.97% chance, avg. $5.87, contributes $0.94 [16.4% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
Desert Eagle The Bronze	$4.47	3.994%	$0.18 [3.1%]
MAG-7 Carbon Fiber	$4.53	3.994%	$0.18 [3.1%]
Dual Berettas Switch Board	$5.31	3.994%	$0.21 [3.7%]
MP5-SD Nitro	$9.18	3.994%	$0.37 [6.4%]

Blue (4 items, 3.33% chance, avg. $33.83, contributes $1.13 [19.7% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
SSG 08 Threat Detected	$33.09	0.832%	$0.28 [4.8%]
SCAR-20 Magna Carta	$32.22	0.832%	$0.27 [4.7%]
P2000 Dispatch	$30.69	0.832%	$0.26 [4.4%]
M4A4 Global Offensive	$39.30	0.832%	$0.33 [5.7%]

Purple (3 items, 0.67% chance, avg. $166.50, contributes $1.11 [19.3% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
FAMAS Prime Conspiracy	$175.33	0.222%	$0.39 [6.8%]
UMP-45 Crime Scene	$177.52	0.222%	$0.39 [6.9%]
Five-SeveN Berries and Cherries	$146.64	0.222%	$0.33 [5.7%]

Pink (2 items, 0.13% chance, avg. $741.86, contributes $0.99 [17.2% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
USP-S Target Acquired	$396.53	0.067%	$0.27 [4.6%]
M4A1-S Blue Phosphor	$1087.19	0.067%	$0.73 [12.7%]

Red (1 items, 0.03% chance, avg. $2181.80, contributes $0.59 [10.3% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
AWP Fade	$2181.80	0.027%	$0.59 [10.3%]

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