Case Opening Simulator

Made by Hexay

The Gods and Monsters Collection

Expected Value: $22.20

Net Expected Value: $1.70

Total Items: 14

Recommended Bankroll: $307.50

Cases Needed: 15

Success Rate: 75.0%

Your Bankroll Confidence (1000.0$): 89.55%

Items by Rarity

Gray (4 items, 79.87% chance, avg. $5.27, contributes $4.21 [19.0% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
MP7 Asterion	$4.70	19.968%	$0.94 [4.2%]
AUG Daedalus	$5.12	19.968%	$1.02 [4.6%]
Nova Moon in Libra	$5.17	19.968%	$1.03 [4.7%]
Dual Berettas Moon in Libra	$6.09	19.968%	$1.22 [5.5%]

LightBlue (4 items, 15.97% chance, avg. $25.90, contributes $4.14 [18.7% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
P2000 Pathfinder	$21.18	3.994%	$0.85 [3.8%]
M249 Shipping Forecast	$21.26	3.994%	$0.85 [3.8%]
Tec-9 Hades	$21.26	3.994%	$0.85 [3.8%]
AWP Sun in Leo	$39.89	3.994%	$1.59 [7.2%]

Blue (2 items, 3.33% chance, avg. $171.39, contributes $5.70 [25.7% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
UMP-45 Minotaur's Labyrinth	$148.14	1.664%	$2.47 [11.1%]
MP9 Pandora's Box	$194.65	1.664%	$3.24 [14.6%]

Purple (2 items, 0.67% chance, avg. $619.61, contributes $4.13 [18.6% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
G3SG1 Chronos	$446.82	0.333%	$1.49 [6.7%]
M4A1-S Icarus Fell	$792.40	0.333%	$2.64 [11.9%]

Pink (1 items, 0.13% chance, avg. $2041.43, contributes $2.72 [12.3% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
M4A4 Poseidon	$2041.43	0.133%	$2.72 [12.2%]

Red (1 items, 0.03% chance, avg. $4822.22, contributes $1.30 [5.9% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
AWP Medusa	$4822.22	0.027%	$1.30 [5.9%]

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